PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING
Company Products & Services
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PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING FOR THE INDUSTRY |
~ .. PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING |
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~ .... PROCESS PRINCIPLES |
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~ .... PHYSICAL SYSTEMS |
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~ ...... UNIQUE-PRODUCT PHYSICAL PROCESSES |
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~ ...... MASS PHYSICAL PROCESSES |
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~ ...... ANALOGUE PHYSICAL PROCESSES |
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~ ............ FLEXIBILITY OF PROCESSES |
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~ ~ ...... Highly Modular & Flexible |
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~ ~ ...... Highly Flexible |
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~ ~ ...... Flexible |
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~ ~ ...... Inflexible |
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~ ~ ...... Highly Inflexible |
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~ ~ ............ Operations |
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~ ~ ............ Markets + Trade Cell |
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~ ~ ............ Products |
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~ ~ ............ Competitors |
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~ ...... PROCESS MANAGEMENT |
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~ ...... PROCESS DEMANDS |
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~ ............ AUTOMATION RATING |
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~ ~ ...... Substantial Usage |
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~ ~ ...... High Usage |
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~ ~ ...... Average Usage |
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~ ~ ...... Low Usage |
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~ ~ ...... No Usage |
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~ ~ ............ Operations |
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~ ~ ............ Markets + Trade Cell |
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~ ~ ............ Products |
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~ ~ ............ Competitors |
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~ .... PROCESS AUTOMATION |
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~ .... HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA |
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~ .... Historic Balance Sheet |
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~ ~ ...... Historic Costs & Margins |
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~ ~ ........ Historic Financial Ratios & Margins |
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~ ~ .......... Historic Operational Ratios & Margins |
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~ .... Financial forecast notes |
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~ .... PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING FINANCIAL FORECASTS |
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~ .... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Operational Margins |
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~ .... New Plant + Equipment Investment Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... New Plant + Equipment Investment Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ New Plant + Equipment Investment Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... New Plant + Equipment Investment Operational Margins |
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~ .... New Technology Investment Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... New Technology Investment Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ New Technology Investment Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... New Technology Investment Operational Margins |
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~ .... Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives Operational Margins |
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~ .... Order Taking Improvements Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Order Taking Improvements Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Order Taking Improvements Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Order Taking Improvements Operational Margins |
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~ .... Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment Operational Margins |
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~ .... Systems Investment Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Systems Investment Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Systems Investment Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Systems Investment Operational Margins |
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~ .... Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios Operational Margins |
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~ .... Profit Impact From Process Cost Reduction Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Profit Impact From Process Cost Reduction Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Profit Impact From Process Cost Reduction Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Profit Impact From Process Cost Reduction Operational Margins |
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~ .... Profit Impact From Customer Handling Cost Reduction Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Profit Impact From Customer Handling Cost Reduction Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Profit Impact From Customer Handling Cost Reduction Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Profit Impact From Customer Handling Cost Reduction Operational Margins |
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~ .... Capital Investments Options: Process Plant & Equipment Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Capital Investments Options: Process Plant & Equipment Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Capital Investments Options: Process Plant & Equipment Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Capital Investments Options: Process Plant & Equipment Operational Margins |
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~ .... Capital Investments Options: Distribution / Handling Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Capital Investments Options: Distribution / Handling Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Capital Investments Options: Distribution / Handling Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Capital Investments Options: Distribution / Handling Operational Margins |
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~ .... Capital Investments Options: Customer Handling Systems Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Capital Investments Options: Customer Handling Systems Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Capital Investments Options: Customer Handling Systems Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Capital Investments Options: Customer Handling Systems Operational Margins |
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~ .... Customer Handling Improvements Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Customer Handling Improvements Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Customer Handling Improvements Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Customer Handling Improvements Operational Margins |
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~ .... Financial data definitions |
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Process management, as the term is commonly understood, is not the concern of
this section any more than the management of selling, finance, technical or
company investments; but the principles of physical processes must be a serious
concern of top management in any business that produces or distributes physical
products. For in every such business the ability to attain performance goals
depends on the ability of physical processes to supply the products in the
required time or with the required flexibility. In any processing enterprise,
ability to produce physically has to be taken into account when setting
business objectives. Management's job is always to push back the limitations
set by the hard reality of physical process facts. It must so manage its business
as to convert these physical limitations into opportunities for the industry.
There is, of course, nothing new in this. Yet traditionally management reacts
to the physical limitations of physical processes by putting pressure on its
process function: there are few areas in which 'management by drives' is as
common. Furthermore physical process people themselves see the answer in a
number of techniques and tools, ranging from machine design to industrial
engineering.
Neither, however is the key. To push back the physical limitations or to
convert them into opportunities requires first that management understand what
system of physical processes its operations require and what the principles of
that system are; and second that it apply these principles consistently and
thoroughly. Physical process is not the application of tools to materials. It
is the application of logic to work. The more clearly, the more consistently,
the more rationally the right logic is applied, the less of a limitation and the
more of an opportunity do ‘physical processes’ become.
Each system of physical processes makes its own demands on the management of
the business - in all areas and on all levels. Each requires different
competence, skill and performance. One set of demands is not necessarily
'higher' than another, any more than non-Euclidian geometry is higher than
Euclidian geometry. Yet each is different, and unless management understands
the demands of its system of physical processes, it will not manage well.
This is particularly important today when many businesses are moving from one
system of physical processes into another. If this move is considered a mere
matter of machines, techniques and gadgets; the business will inevitably reap
only the difficulties of the new system which involves new principles, and one
must understand what are these difficulties.
There are three basic systems of physical processes:
1) Unique-product physical processes
2) Mass physical processes
3) Analogue physical processes
One may perhaps count four systems:
There are two general rules for advancing physical processes performance and pushing back limitations:
1) |
The limitations of physical processes are pushed back further and faster, the more consistently and thoroughly the principles pertaining to the system in use are applied. |
2) |
The systems themselves represent a distinct order of advance, with unique-product physical processes the most advanced. They represent different stages of control over physical limitations. This does not mean that opportunities for advance lie everywhere in moving from the unique-product system to the physical processes system. Each system has its specific applications, requirements and limitations. But it does mean that one advances to the extent to which one can organize components of physical processes on the principles of a more advanced system; and learn, at the same time, how to harmonies the two systems within the business. |
There are also two general rules concerning the demands on management
competence made by each system.
1) |
The systems differ not just in the difficulty of their demands, but in the variety of competence and the order of performance. Management, in moving from one system to another, has to learn how to do new things rather than learn to do the old things better. |
2) |
The more we succeed in applying consistently the principles of each system, the easier it becomes for management to satisfy its demands. |
Each management has to meet the demands of the system it ought to have
according to the nature of its product and physical processes, rather than
those of the system it actually has. Being unable or unwilling to apply what
would be the most appropriate system only results in lack of performance; it
does not result in lower demands on management. Indeed, it inevitably increases
the difficulties of managing business.
One case in point is constant flow processing, which has (in the 'batch
process') primarily a unique-product system. There is probably no section of
industry that has worked harder or more successfully on perfecting a unique-product
system. Yet the problems the managements of these companies face are all
physical processes problems: high fixed capital requirements and the need for
continuous physical processes resulting in high break-even points, the need for
a high and constant level of business, the need to make basic investment
decisions for a long time ahead, et cetera. At the same time these industry
sectors enjoy few of the benefits of physical processes.
It is, in summary, of major importance in managing a business to know which
system applies; to carry its principles through as far as possible; to find out
which components of physical processes can be organized in a more advanced
system and to organize them accordingly; to know what demands each system makes
on management.
Furthermore where, as in the constant flow process industry sectors, historical
and technological obstacles have barred the organization of physical processes
in the appropriate system; it is a major challenge to management to work
systematically on overcoming these obstacles. Indeed, emphasis in such a
situation should not be given to working a little more effectively what is
basically the wrong system. One is convinced that a great deal of the
tremendous technological effort in the certain industries has been misdirected.
Focused on improving the traditional process, it will turn out to have been
wasted when processing will finally become a physical process; which is in all
probability not too far off any more. A business using the wrong system has to
satisfy all the demands that the appropriate and more advanced system would
make on management, yet, it does not have the wherewithal to pay for them, for
this can come only out of the increased ability to produce what the more
advanced system provides.
What, then, concretely are these three systems of physical processes and their
principles?
1. UNIQUE-PRODUCT PHYSICAL PROCESSES
In the first, the physical processing of a unique product, each product is
self-contained. Of course, strictly speaking, there is no such thing as process
unique products - they are produced only by the artist. But building an
aircraft, a big turbine or a skyscraper comes close to turning out a unique
product. So is the building of a house, and in most cases 'batch physical
processes' in a job shop.
Under this system the basic principle is organization into homogeneous stages.
In the building of the traditional single-family house (one of the simplest
examples of unique product physical processes) we can distinguish four such
stages. First, digging the foundation and pouring concrete for the foundation
walls and the basement floor. Second, putting up the frame and the roof. Third,
installing plumbing and wiring equipment in the inside walls. Finally, interior
finishing. What makes each of these a distinct stage is that work on the house
can stop after each is completed, without any damage - even for a fairly long
time. On the other hand, within each stage, work has to be carried right
through; or else what has been done already will be damaged and may even have
to be done again. Each stage can be varied from house to house without too much
trouble or adjustment and without delaying the next stage. Each of these stages
by the inner logic of the product, that is, of the house, is an entity in
itself.
Unique-product physical processes, with its organization of the work by
homogeneous stages, is radically different from craft organization, in which a
specialist does all the required work for his particular specialty. Properly
organized, unique-product physical processes does not go by craft skills but by
stage skills. The model is the telephone installation man who, without being a
skilled electrician, carpenter, plumber or roofer, installs electric wiring,
saws through boards, makes a ground connection and can take up a roof shingle
and replace it. In other words, either every man engaged in the work of a
particular stage must be able to do everything needed within that stage; or, as
in the building of a big turbine, there must be an integrated team for each
stage which contains within itself all the stage skills needed. No skills are
needed by an individual or team that goes beyond the requirement of the
particular stage.
This is largely how one succeeds in building ships at such a tremendous rate
during wars. It was not mass physical processes that resulted in the
unprecedented output of ships. It was the division of the work into homogeneous
stages; the systematic organization of the work group for the specific requirements
of each stage; and the systematic training of a large number of people to do
all the work required within one stage. This in turn made possible the
progressive scheduling of the work flow which was the greatest time saver.
2. MASS PHYSICAL PROCESSES INFLEXIBLE AND FLEXIBLE
Mass physical processes is the assembly of varied products - in large numbers
or small - out of uniform and standardized components.
In most industries mass physical processes is today the prevailing system. It
is, and with good reason, considered to be the typical system of an industrial
society - though analogue physical processes may soon become a strong
contender.
So universal is mass physical processes today that it might be assumed that we
know all about it, certainly that we know all about its basic principles. This
is far from true. After forty years we are only now beginning to understand
what we should be doing. The reason for this is that the man who ushered in
mass physical processes as a universal system misunderstood and misapplied it -
so often the fate of the pioneer.
When Henry Ford allegedly said that 'the customer can have any color car as long as
it's black', whether he said it or not, it was not a joking. It was meant to express the essence of mass
physical processes as the manufacture of uniform products in large quantity. Of
course, he knew that it would have been easy to give his customers a choice of
colors; all that was needed was to give the painter at the end of the assembly
line three or four spray guns instead of one. But Ford also realized, rightly,
that the uniformity of the product would soon be gone altogether once he made
any concession to diversity. Thus to him the uniformity of the product was the
key to mass physical processes.
This inflexible mass physical processes is however, based on a
misunderstanding. It is the essence of genuine mass physical processes that it
can create a greater diversity of products than any method ever designed by
man. It does not rest on uniform products. It rests on uniform components which
can than be mass-assembled into a large variety of different products.
The model of mass physical processes is therefore not the old Ford assembly
line. It is rather the farm equipment manufacturer who designs and makes
specialized cultivating machines for large-scale farming on irrigated land -
where each one of the designs is unique. They make, for instance, a machine
that performs with various attachments, all operations needed in large scale
cucumber growing from preparing the hills in the spring, then harvesting
cucumbers at the right stage of their growth, then picking them. They rarely
make more than one of each machine at a time. Yet every one of the more than
seven hundred different machines is made up entirely of mass-produced, uniform,
standardized components, which someone in the industrial background turns out
by the thousands. Their biggest job is not to solve the problem of designing a
machine that will identify cucumbers of the right ripeness for picking, but to
find a mass producer of part that, though originally designed for an entirely
different purpose, will, when put on the cucumber cultivator, do whatever is
needed.
The specific technique for applying this principle is the systematic analysis
of products to find the pattern that underlies their multiplicity. Then this
pattern can be organized so that the minimum number of produced components will
make possible the assembly of the maximum number of products. The burden of
diversity, in other words, is taken out of process and shifted to assembly.
Physical processes in a company is physical processing of components -
even though the final products are widely different. The burden of variety is
thrown on assembly. The components themselves can be produced continuously
against a schedule determined by the size of the capacity rather than by
customer orders and the size of the capacity is again determined by the time
needed for assembly and delivery.
This flexible mass physical processes is the most immediately useful
physical processes concept that we have in our possession today. It is above
all the logical methods of 'Operations Research' that allow us to take the
complicated analyses of products and components that are necessary to put the
correct mass physical processes into effect.
Wherever this new principle has actually been applied, cost reductions have
been spectacular sometimes reaching 50 or 60 percent. Nor is its application
confined to the physical processes process itself. By making it possible to
keep a capacity in component form instead of in aggregated form, it
often enables a company to cut its costs and yet give the customer better
service.
This new principle does achieve, in other words, what Henry Ford was after: the
continuous physical processes of uniform things without interruption because of
an irregular flow of customer orders, or the need to change tools, styles or
models. But it does this not by producing uniform products but by producing
standardized components. Uniformity in process is coupled with diversity in
assembly.
Obviously the application of the mass physical processes principle is not
simple. It goes well beyond process and requires hard and extensive work on the
part of the marketing people, engineers, financial people, personnel people,
purchasing agents and so forth. It carries risks as it must be based on a
fairly long physical processes cycle at a constant rate of machine utilization
- three, six, in some cases, eighteen months. It requires new accounting tools.
Flexible mass physical processes can also not be put in overnight - the
development in some companies will take years. But so great are the savings
that a company will recover the expense of a virtually complete redesign of its
products and process facilities in fewer than two years.
3. ANALOGUE PHYSICAL PROCESSES
The third system is analogue physical processes. Here process and product
become one.
The oldest example of an analogue industry is that of oil refining. The end
products that a refinery will obtain out of crude oil are determined by the
processes it uses. It can produce only the oil distillates for which it is
built and only in definite proportions. If new distillates have to be added, or
if the proportion between the various distillates is to be changed
significantly, the refinery has to be rebuilt. Analogue processes is the rule
in the chemical industries, and it is, with minor variations, the basic system
of a bulk flow processing or continuous flow plant.
Both mass physical processes flexible and analogue physical processes
are ready for Automation and Technological Development.
Flexible |
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Inflexible |
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H98 Grid Definition
Management must demand that those responsible for physical processes know which
system of physical processing is appropriate, and apply the principles of that
system consistently and to the limit. These are the first and decisive steps in
pushing back the limitations of physical processes on business performance.
Only when these steps have been taken can the next one be made: the
organization of components of physical processes on the basis of a more
advanced system.
The result of doing this without first analyzing the physical processes process
and organizing it properly is shown by the failure of many kit-built products.
It would seem the most obvious thing in the world to build a house from
prefabricated, standardized components. Yet the attempt, when made after the
Second World War, proved abortive.
The reason was that uniform, standardized components - mass physical processes,
in other words, were superimposed on a badly disorganized unique-product
system. Instead of homogeneous stages, the organizing principle was craft
organization. The use of prefabricated components in a craft system proved more
expensive and slower than the old methods. When, however, one company organized
home building by homogeneous stages, they could immediately use uniform
standardized prefabricated components with conspicuous savings in time and
money.
Similarly, standardized components brought no savings in a repair shop as long
as it was craft-organized. When the work was organized in teams, each containing
all the skills needed in a particular stage of the work, when in other words,
craft organization was replaced by stage organization, standardized components
brought tremendous savings.
This is of particular importance in a mass physical processes industry, which
produces diversified products. For there the great opportunity lies in the
application of Automation; and this can only be achieved if physical processes
are properly understood and organized as the manufacture of uniform components
and their assembly into diversified products.
But management must also know what the various systems of physical processes
demand of its own competence and performance.
In unique-product physical processes, management's first job, it might be said,
is to get an order. In mass physical processes, the job is to build an
effective distributive organization and to educate the customer to adapt his
wants to the range of product variety. In analogue physical processes, the
first task is to create, maintain and expand a market and to find new markets.
Unique-product physical
processes has high costs for the individual product but great flexibility in
the plant.
Mass physical processes flexible has the ability to supply wants cheaply and within a wide and flexible range of products. But it requires much higher capital investment than unique product physical processes and a much higher level of continuous activity; it involves inventory risks; and it needs a distributive organization that can sell continuously rather than one that goes after a specialized, individual order.
Analogue
physical processes requires the highest capital
investment (in absolute values) and the most nearly continuous operation. Also,
since products and process have, so to speak, become one, new products will be
created by changes in the process even if there is no demand for them in the
existing market; a common occurrence, for example, in the chemical industry.
Management must therefore develop new markets for any new products as well as
maintain a steady market for the old. Indeed, under Automation it is a major
responsibility of management both in mass physical processes and in analogue
physical processes to maintain a steadier level of economic activity and to
prevent extreme economic fluctuations, whether of boom or of depression.
Under the unique-product system the time-span of decisions is short. Under mass
physical processes it becomes longer: a distributive organization, for
instance, may take ten years to build. But under a process system decisions are
made for an even longer future. Once built, the physical processes facilities
are relatively inflexible and can be changed only at major expense; the total
investment may be large; and the development of a market is long range. The
marketing systems of the big oil companies are good examples. The more advanced
the physical processes organization, the more important are decisions for the
future.
Each system requires different management skills and organization.
Unique-product physical processes requires people good at a technical function.
Mass physical processes - inflexible and flexible - requires management trained in analytical thinking, in scheduling and in planning.
Flexible mass physical processes as well as analogue physical processes requires
management trained in seeing a business as a whole in conceptual synthesis and
in decision-making.
Under unique-product physical processes management can be centralized at the
top. Co-ordination between the various functions is needed primarily at the
top. Selling, design, engineering and physical processes can all be distinct
and need only come together where company policy is being determined. It is
this pattern of unique-product physical processes that is still largely assumed
in our organization theory - even though unique-product physical processes may
well be the exception rather than the rule in the majority of industry today.
Mass physical processes inflexible can still maintain this pattern,
though with considerable difficulty and at a high price of efficiency. It does
better with a pattern that establishes centers of decision and integration much
further down. For it requires close co-ordination between the engineers who
design the product, the physical processes people who make it, the sales people
who market it, and so forth.
In both mass physical processes flexible and analogue physical
processes, functional centralization is impossible. They require the closest
co-operation of people from all functions at every stage. They require that
design, physical processes, marketing and the organization of the work be
tackled simultaneously by a team representing all functions. They require that
every member of the team both know his own functional work and see the impact
on the whole business all the time, and decisions affecting the business as a
whole have to be taken at a decentralized level - sometimes at a level not even
considered as 'management' today.
There are significant differences with respect to the work force and its
management. Unique-product physical processes can usually adjust its work force
to economic fluctuations, keeping in bad times only foremen and a nucleus of the
most highly skilled. It can, as a rule, find what other skills it needs on the
labor market. Precisely because they have limited skill, the workers in inflexible
mass physical processes must increasingly demand employment stability from the
enterprise, and in any business that uses Automation (whether flexible
mass physical processes or analogue physical processes) the enterprise itself
must make efforts to stabilize employment. For the work force needed for
Automation consists largely of people trained both in skill and in theoretical
understanding. It not only represents too great an investment to be disbanded;
it can normally only be created within the company and with years of effort. It
is neither accident nor philanthropy that the oil companies - typical process
businesses - have tried so hard to keep employment steady even in bad
depression years.
Under Automation there are few ' workers'. As said before,
Automation will not (in the traditional sense of the work) cut down the total
number of people employed - just as mass physical processes did not do so. What
we can see so far in the process industries shows clearly that the total work
force does not shrink. On the contrary, it needs to expand. But Automation
requires totally different workers who are actually much closer to the
professional and technical specialist than to today's physical processes
worker. This creates a problem of managing people that is quite different from
any 'personnel management problem' business men are normally familiar with.
H99 Grid Definition
One has learned to be extremely skeptical of any prediction of imminent
revolution or of sweeping changes in technology or business organization. After
all, today, two hundred years since the first Industrial Revolution there still
flourishes in our midst the garment industry, a large industry organized on the
'putting-out' system which, the textbooks tell us, had become obsolete by 1750.
It would not be difficult to find other examples of such living ancestors who
are blissfully (indeed profitably) unaware that they died a long time ago.
Certainly the obstacles to the Automation revolution are great - above all, the
lack of men properly trained in the new concepts and skills. Also it has been
estimated that only one quarter of industries could readily benefit from
Automation at the present state of its technology. Even a real 'Automation
revolution' would be a gradual and highly uneven process.
Still revolutions do happen - and in the industry there will be one powerful
force pushing towards an Automation revolution in the next decade: the shortage
of workers. As a result mainly of the lean birth years of recent decades. Yet,
the total population will go up much faster, even if present record birth rates
should not be maintained. To reach minimum growth objectives indicated by
population figures, technological progress and economic trends would require,
in many companies, a doubling of the labor force, were physical processes to
continue on the present system.
Even without a resolution, the most significant, the most promising and most
continuous opportunity to improve the performance of business enterprise will
not lie, for decades to come, in new machines or new processes. It will lie
first in the consistent application of the new mass physical processes
principle and secondly in the application of the principles of Automation. The
techniques and tools of physical processes management will continue to be a
specialized subject with which only physical processes people need to be
familiar. But every manager will have to acquire an understanding of the
principles of physical processes - above all, an understanding that efficient
physical processes is a matter of principles rather than of machines or
gadgets. For without it he will not, in the decades ahead, adequately discharge
his job.
F_H - FIN_HIST.HTM HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA
PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING BASED BALANCE SHEET FORECASTS
The PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING FINANCIAL SCENARIOS BALANCE SHEET
FORECASTS section gives a series of Balance Sheet Forecasts for the industry
using a number of assumptions relating to the process and order handling
decisions available to the management of the industry.
The Balance sheet forecast given shows the effects of financial improvements
which Management is likely to recommend:
PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING FINANCIAL SCENARIOS
- Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario
- New Plant + Equipment Investment
- New Technology Investment
- Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives
- Order Taking Improvements
- Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment
- Systems Investment
- Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios
- Profit Impact From Process Cost Reduction
- Profit Impact From Customer Handling Cost Reduction
- Capital Investments Options: Process Plant & Equipment
- Capital Investments Options: Distribution / Handling
- Capital Investments Options: Customer Handling Systems
- Customer Handling Improvements
Managers in the industry will, in both the short-term and the long-term, have
vital decisions to make regarding the process improvements, margins and
profitability and these decisions will need to be evaluated in light of the
customers, markets, competitors, products, industry and internal factors. The
scenarios given isolate a number of the most important factors and provide
balance sheet forecasts for each of the scenarios.
The data provides a short and medium term forecast covering the next 6 years
for each of the Forecast Financial and Operational items. The Financial and
Operational Data sections show each of the items listed below in terms of
forecast data and covers a period of the next 6 years.
F0M| MEDIAN FORECAST : Financials
G0M| MEDIAN FORECAST : Margins & Ratios
F04 | NEW PLANT + EQUIPMENT INVESTMENT : Financials
G04 | NEW PLANT + EQUIPMENT INVESTMENT : Margins & Ratios
F05 | NEW TECHNOLOGY INVESTMENT : Financials
G05 | NEW TECHNOLOGY INVESTMENT : Margins & Ratios
F28 | DISTRIBUTION & PRODUCT DELIVERY COST OBJECTIVES : Financials
G28 | DISTRIBUTION & PRODUCT DELIVERY COST OBJECTIVES : Margins & Ratios
F42 | ORDER TAKING IMPROVEMENTS : Financials
G42 | ORDER TAKING IMPROVEMENTS : Margins & Ratios
F45 | CUSTOMER / ORDER PROCESSING SYSTEMS INVESTMENT : Financials
G45 | CUSTOMER / ORDER PROCESSING SYSTEMS INVESTMENT : Margins & Ratios
F46 | SYSTEMS INVESTMENT : Financials
G46 | SYSTEMS INVESTMENT : Margins & Ratios
F53 | PLANT & EQUIPMENT COST SCENARIOS : Financials
G53 | PLANT & EQUIPMENT COST SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios
F63 | PROFIT IMPACT FROM PROCESS COST REDUCTION : Financials
G63 | PROFIT IMPACT FROM PROCESS COST REDUCTION : Margins & Ratios
F65 | PROFIT IMPACT FROM CUSTOMER HANDLING COST REDUCTION : Financials
G65 | PROFIT IMPACT FROM CUSTOMER HANDLING COST REDUCTION : Margins & Ratios
F66 | CAPITAL INVESTMENTS OPTIONS: PROCESS PLANT & EQUIPMENT : Financials
G66 | CAPITAL INVESTMENTS OPTIONS: PROCESS PLANT & EQUIPMENT : Margins & Ratios
F68 | CAPITAL INVESTMENTS OPTIONS: DISTRIBUTION / HANDLING : Financials
G68 | CAPITAL INVESTMENTS OPTIONS: DISTRIBUTION / HANDLING : Margins & Ratios
F69 | CAPITAL INVESTMENTS OPTIONS: CUSTOMER HANDLING SYSTEMS : Financials
G69 | CAPITAL INVESTMENTS OPTIONS: CUSTOMER HANDLING SYSTEMS : Margins & Ratios
F72 | CUSTOMER HANDLING IMPROVEMENTS : Financials
G72 | CUSTOMER HANDLING IMPROVEMENTS : Margins & Ratios
FIN_DEFI.HTM Financial Definitions
ANALOGUE PHYSICAL PROCESSES, 4, 9
Automation, 4
AUTOMATION RATING, 11
Average Usage, 11
Balance Sheet Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario, 24
Balance Sheet Capital Investments Options: Customers, 72
Balance Sheet Capital Investments Options: Distribution, 68
Balance Sheet Capital Investments Options: Process, 64
Balance Sheet Customer Handling Improvements, 76
Balance Sheet Customer / Order Processing Systems, 44
Balance Sheet Distribution & Product Delivery Cost, 36
Balance Sheet Historic, 18
Balance Sheet New Plant + Equipment Investment, 28
Balance Sheet New Technology Investment, 32
Balance Sheet Order Taking Improvements, 40
Balance Sheet Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios, 52
Balance Sheet Profit Impact From Customer Handling, 60
Balance Sheet Profit Impact From Process Cost Reduction, 56
Balance Sheet Systems Investment, 48
Capital investment, 9
Costs & Margins Historic, 19
Diversified products, 2
Financial data definitions, 81
Financial forecast notes, 22
Financial Ratios Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario, 26
Financial Ratios Capital Investments Options: Customers, 74
Financial Ratios Capital Investments Options: Distribution, 70
Financial Ratios Capital Investments Options: Processes, 66
Financial Ratios Customer Handling Improvements, 78
Financial Ratios Customer / Order Processing Systems, 46
Financial Ratios Distribution & Product Delivery Cost, 38
Financial Ratios New Plant + Equipment Investment, 30
Financial Ratios New Technology Investment, 34
Financial Ratios Order Taking Improvements, 42
Financial Ratios Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios, 54
Financial Ratios Profit Impact From Customer Handling, 62
Financial Ratios Profit Impact From Process Cost Reduction, 58
Financial Ratios Systems Investment, 50
Financial Ratios & Margins Historic, 20
FLEXIBILITY OF PROCESSES, 5
Flexible, 2, 5
High Usage, 11
Highly Flexible, 5
Highly Inflexible, 5
Highly Modular & Flexible, 5
HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA, 17
Inflexible, 2, 5
Low Usage, 11
MASS PHYSICAL PROCESSES, 3
No Usage, 11
Operational Costs Base Forecast : Median Market, 25
Operational Costs Capital Investments: Customers, 73
Operational Costs Capital Investments: Distribution, 69
Operational Costs Capital Investments: Processes, 65
Operational Costs Customer Handling Improvements, 77
Operational Costs Customer / Order Processing Systems, 45
Operational Costs Distribution & Product Delivery, 37
Operational Costs New Plant + Equipment Investment, 29
Operational Costs New Technology Investment, 33
Operational Costs Order Taking Improvements, 41
Operational Costs Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios, 53
Operational Costs Profit Impact From Customer Handling, 61
Operational Costs Profit Impact From Process Cost, 57
Operational Costs Systems Investment, 49
Operational Margins Base Forecast : Median Market, 27
Operational Margins Capital Investments: Customers, 75
Operational Margins Capital Investments: Distribution, 71
Operational Margins Capital Investments: Processes, 67
Operational Margins Customer Handling Improvements, 79
Operational Margins Customer / Order Processing Systems, 47
Operational Margins Distribution & Product Delivery, 39
Operational Margins New Plant + Equipment Investments, 31
Operational Margins New Technology Investment, 35
Operational Margins Order Taking Improvements, 43
Operational Margins Plant & Equipment Cost Scenario, 55
Operational Margins Profit Impact From Customer Handling, 63
Operational Margins Profit Impact From Process Costs, 59
Operational Margins Systems Investment, 51
Operational Ratios & Margins Historic, 21
PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING, 1
PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING FINANCIAL SCENARIOS, 23
PHYSICAL SYSTEMS, 2
PROCESS AUTOMATION, 15
PROCESS DEMANDS, 9
PROCESS MANAGEMENT, 9
PROCESS PRINCIPLES, 1
Substantial Usage, 11
Technological Development, 4
Uniform products, 2
UNIQUE-PRODUCT PHYSICAL PROCESSES, 3, 9
Workers, 10
Analogue
physical
ANALOGUE PHYSICAL PROCESSES
AUTOMATION
RATING
Automation
Average
Usage
Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario
capital
investment
Capital Investments Options: Customer Handling Systems
Capital Investments Options: Distribution / Handling
Capital Investments Options: Process Plant & Equipment
Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment
Customer Handling Improvements
Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives
diversified
products
FLEXIBILITY OF PROCESSES
Flexible
flexible
High
Usage
Highly
Flexible
Highly
Inflexible
Highly Modular & Flexible
HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA
Inflexible
inflexible
Low Usage
MASS PHYSICAL PROCESSES
New Plant + Equipment Investment
New Technology Investment
No Usage
Order Taking Improvements
PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING FINANCIAL SCENARIOS
FORECASTS
PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING
PHYSICAL
SYSTEMS
Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios
PROCESS
AUTOMATION
PROCESS
DEMANDS
PROCESS
MANAGEMENT
PROCESS
PRINCIPLES
Profit Impact From Customer Handling Cost Reduction
Profit Impact From Process Cost Reduction
Substantial
Usage
Systems
Investment
Technological Development
uniform
products
UNIQUE-PRODUCT PHYSICAL PROCESSES
Unique-product physical processes
workers
PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING
PROCESS
PRINCIPLES
PHYSICAL
SYSTEMS
UNIQUE-PRODUCT PHYSICAL PROCESSES
MASS PHYSICAL PROCESSES
ANALOGUE PHYSICAL PROCESSES
PROCESS
MANAGEMENT
PROCESS
DEMANDS
PROCESS
AUTOMATION
HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA
PHYSICAL PROCESS + ORDER HANDLING FINANCIAL SCENARIOS
FORECASTS
FLEXIBILITY OF PROCESSES
Highly Modular & Flexible
Highly
Flexible
Flexible
Inflexible
Highly
Inflexible
AUTOMATION
RATING
Substantial
Usage
High
Usage
Average
Usage
Low Usage
No Usage
Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario
New Plant + Equipment Investment
New Technology Investment
Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives
Order Taking Improvements
Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment
Systems
Investment
Plant & Equipment Cost Scenarios
Profit Impact From Process Cost Reduction
Profit Impact From Customer Handling Cost Reduction
Capital Investments Options: Process Plant & Equipment
Capital Investments Options: Distribution / Handling
Capital Investments Options: Customer Handling Systems
Customer Handling Improvements