MARKET RISK SCENARIOS
Company Products & Services
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MARKET RISK SCENARIOS FOR THE INDUSTRY |
~ .. MARKETS |
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~ ...... TERMS USED IN THIS REPORT |
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~ ...... VALUE TERMS AND VOLUME TERMS |
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~ ...... MARKET VALUE |
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~ ...... ~ PRODUCT SECTOR : VALUE |
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~ ...... MARKET VALUE FORECAST |
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~ ...... ~ PRODUCT SECTOR : VALUE |
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~ ...... PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT |
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~ ...... ~ PRODUCT SECTOR : % OF TOTAL MARKET |
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~ ...... PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT FORECAST |
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~ ...... ~ PRODUCT SECTOR : % OF TOTAL MARKET |
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~ .... MARKET SCENARIO FORECASTS |
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~ ...... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Base Forecast : Worst Market Scenario |
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~ ...... New Product Development Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Market Segmentation Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Distribution Channel Improvement Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Price Cutting Effect Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Price Increase Effect Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Quality Improvement Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Export Sales Improvement Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 2% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 4% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 6% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 8% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Increase : +10% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Increase : +12% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 2% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 4% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 6% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 8% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Decrease : -10% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Marketing Expenditure Decrease : -12% : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Fixed Marketing Cost Objectives Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Variable Marketing Cost Objectives Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Selling Cost Objectives Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Advertising Cost Objectives Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Promotional & Pricing Cost Objectives Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Market Share Building Objectives Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Market Share Holding Objectives Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Market Share Harvesting Objectives Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Sales Cost Improvement Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Promotional Expenditure Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Target Markets Development Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Order Taking Improvements Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Product Positioning Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Product Branding + Multi-branding Investment Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Overseas Development Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Sales Personnel + Staff Improvement Market Scenario Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Sales & Marketing Cost : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Customer Handling Improvements Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Bank Borrowing: 3% Inflation : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Bank Borrowing: 6% Inflation : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Bank Borrowing: 9% Inflation : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... Trading Credit Extension & Margin Reduction : Market Scenario |
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~ ...... MARKET DATA NOTES |
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~ ...... MARKET ENVIRONMENT |
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~ ...... Market Growth |
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~ ...... Market Structure |
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~ ...... Market/s Serviced |
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~ ...... TRADING AREA |
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~ ...... MARKET COVERAGE |
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~ .... Market forecast notes |
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~ .... MARKET NORMS |
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~ ...... MARKET GROWTH RATE ANNUAL INDICES |
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~ ...... MARKET MULTIPLIERS |
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~ ...... INDUSTRY INDICES |
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~ ...... INDUSTRY PROFILE |
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~ ...... CUSTOMER PROFILES |
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~ .... MARKETING COSTS |
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~ .... HISTORIC MARKETING COSTS & MARGINS |
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~ ...... SALES COSTS |
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~ ...... DISTRIBUTION + HANDLING COSTS |
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~ ...... ADVERTISING COSTS |
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~ ...... AFTER-SALES COSTS |
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~ ...... TOTAL MARKETING COSTS |
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~ .... HISTORIC MARKETING COST RATIOS & MARGINS |
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~ ...... PROFIT RATIOS |
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~ ...... MARKETING RATIO |
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~ ...... MARKETING OPERATIONAL RATIOS |
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~ ...... MARKETING COSTS |
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~ .... MARKETING COSTS FORECAST |
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~ ...... SALES COSTS FORECAST |
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~ ...... DISTRIBUTION + HANDLING COSTS FORECAST |
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~ ...... ADVERTISING COSTS FORECAST |
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~ ...... AFTER-SALES COSTS FORECAST |
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~ ...... TOTAL MARKETING COSTS FORECAST |
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~ .... MARKETING MARGINS + RATIOS FORECAST |
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~ ...... PROFIT RATIOS FORECAST |
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~ ...... MARKETING RATIOS FORECAST |
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~ ...... MARKETING OPERATIONAL RATIOS FORECAST |
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~ ...... MARKETING FACTORS FORECAST |
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~ .... Financial forecast notes |
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~ .... HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA |
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~ .... Historic Balance Sheet |
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~ ~ ...... Historic Costs & Margins |
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~ ~ ........ Historic Financial Ratios & Margins |
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~ ~ .......... Historic Operational Ratios & Margins |
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~ .... Financial forecast notes |
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~ .... MARKET FINANCIAL FORECASTS |
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~ .... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Balance Sheet Forecast |
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~ ...... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Operational Costs Forecast |
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~ ........ Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Financial Ratios |
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~ .......... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Operational Margins |
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~ .... Financial data definitions |
PRODUCTS COVERED IN THIS CHAPTER
**** This report covers all the products or brands which were previous, are currently, or will potentially be in the future, important to the target Company.
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IMPORTANT NOTE ON MARKET RISK SCENARIOS FIGURES GIVEN IN THIS SECTION
The MARKET figures given in this section are notated as DSP (5) and the
notations indicated signify the following:-
(1) = VALUE GIVEN AT INDUSTRY
SHIPMENT VALUES OR PRICES
(2) = VALUE GIVEN AT WHOLESALE
VALUES OR PRICES
(3) = VALUE GIVEN AT RETAIL VALUES
OR PRICES
(4) = VALUE GIVEN AT PRICE PAID BY
END USERS as appropriate
(5) = VALUE GIVEN AT ACTUAL PRICE PAID discounted
as appropriate
UNITS = Units times the multiplier given in brackets, E.g. ( '000 )
= x 1000 Units
TERMS USED IN THIS REPORT
MSP: - Supplier or Producer Prices
WSP: - Wholesale or Distributors
Sale Prices
RSP: - Retail Sale Prices
CSP: - The price at End User
or final distribution level
DSP: - The price actually
paid net of discounting
TURNOVER: Turnover is sales plus investment income, grants and other funds
received, income from disposals and other sources.
VALUE TERMS AND VOLUME TERMS
The standard report generated usually provides data in VALUE terms. This is by
far the most popular (as demanded by readers) measure of commercial
activity. We can also provide data in VOLUME or UNIT terms and this can be
specified when the report is ordered. Obviously some reports do not lend
themselves to Volume quantification and thus availability of this data will
vary according to the report and the database.
MARKET VALUE BY PRODUCT SECTOR
M0M | MEDIAN FORECAST Scenario Market Forecast
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT % OF TOTAL MARKET
Q0M | MEDIAN FORECAST Scenario Product Share Forecast
MKT_DEFI.HTM MARKET DEFINITIONS
The MARKET SCENARIO FORECASTS section gives a series of Market Forecasts for
the industry using a number of assumptions relating to the decisions available to
the management of the industry.
The Market forecast given shows the effects of marketing factors or
improvements which company management are likely to recommend:
MARKET SCENARIO FORECASTS
- Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario
- Base Forecast : Worst Market Scenario
- Marketing Expenditure
- New Product Development
- Market Segmentation
- Distribution Channel Improvement
- Price Cutting Effect
- Price Increase Effect
- Quality Improvement
- Export Sales Improvement
- Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 2%
- Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 4%
- Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 6%
- Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 8%
- Marketing Expenditure Increase : +10%
- Marketing Expenditure Increase : +12%
- Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 2%
- Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 4%
- Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 6%
- Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 8%
- Marketing Expenditure Decrease : -10%
- Marketing Expenditure Decrease : -12%
- Fixed Marketing Cost Objectives
- Variable Marketing Cost Objectives
- Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives
- Selling Cost Objectives
- Advertising Cost Objectives
- Promotional & Pricing Cost Objectives
- Market Share Building Objectives
- Market Share Holding Objectives
- Market Share Harvesting Objectives
- Sales Cost Improvement
- Product Price Cutting
- Product Price Increase
- Promotional Expenditure
- Target Markets Development
- Order Taking Improvements
- Product Positioning
- Product Branding + Multi-branding Investment
- Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment
- Overseas Development
- Sales Personnel + Staff Improvement
- Sales & Marketing Cost Scenarios
- Product Quality Improvement
- Customer Handling Improvements
- Bank Borrowing: 3% Inflation Scenarios
- Bank Borrowing: 6% Inflation Scenarios
- Bank Borrowing: 9% Inflation Scenarios
- Trading Credit Extension & Margin Reduction Scenarios
Managers in the industry will, in both the short-term and the long-term, have
vital decisions to make regarding the possible market scenarios and the
subsequent margins and profitability. These decisions will need to be evaluated
in light of the customers, markets, competitors, products, industry and
internal factors. The scenarios given isolate a number of the most important
commercial factors and provide market value forecasts for each of the
scenarios.
Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario
M0B | BEST FORECAST Scenario Market Forecast
Q0B | BEST FORECAST Scenario Product Share Forecast
Base Forecast : Worst Market Scenario
M0W | WORST FORECAST Scenario Market Forecast
Q0W | WORST FORECAST Scenario Product Share Forecast
New Product Development Market Scenario
M02 | NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q02 | NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Market Segmentation Market Scenario
M03 | MARKET SEGMENTATION Scenario Market Forecast
Q03 | MARKET SEGMENTATION Scenario Product Share Forecast
Distribution Channel Improvement Market Scenario
M06 | DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL IMPROVEMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q06 | DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL IMPROVEMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Price Cutting Effect Market Scenario
M08 | SHORT-TERM PRICE CUTTING EFFECT Scenario Market Forecast
Q08 | SHORT-TERM PRICE CUTTING EFFECT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Price Increase Effect Market Scenario
M09 | SHORT-TERM PRICE INCREASE EFFECT Scenario Market Forecast
Q09 | SHORT-TERM PRICE INCREASE EFFECT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Quality Improvement Market Scenario
M10 | QUALITY IMPROVEMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q10 | QUALITY IMPROVEMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Export Sales Improvement Market Scenario
M11 | EXPORT SALES IMPROVEMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q11 | EXPORT SALES IMPROVEMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 2% : Market Scenario
M13 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : + 2% Scenario Market Forecast
Q13 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : + 2% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 4% : Market Scenario
M14 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : + 4% Scenario Market Forecast
Q14 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : + 4% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 6% : Market Scenario
M15 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : + 6% Scenario Market Forecast
Q15 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : + 6% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 8% : Market Scenario
M16 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : + 8% Scenario Market Forecast
Q16 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : + 8% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Increase : +10% : Market Scenario
M17 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : +10% Scenario Market Forecast
Q17 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : +10% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Increase : +12% : Market Scenario
M18 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : +12% Scenario Market Forecast
Q18 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE INCREASE : +12% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 2% : Market Scenario
M19 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : - 2% Scenario Market Forecast
Q19 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : - 2% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 4% : Market Scenario
M20 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : - 4% Scenario Market Forecast
Q20 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : - 4% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 6% : Market Scenario
M21 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : - 6% Scenario Market Forecast
Q21 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : - 6% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 8% : Market Scenario
M22 MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : - 8% Scenario Market Forecast
Q22 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : - 8% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : -10% : Market Scenario
M23 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : -10% Scenario Market Forecast
Q23 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : -10% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : -12% : Market Scenario
M24 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : -12% Scenario Market Forecast
Q24 | MARKETING EXPENDITURE DECREASE : -12% Scenario Product Share Forecast
Fixed Marketing Cost Objectives Market Scenario
M25 | FIXED MARKETING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Market Forecast
Q25 | FIXED MARKETING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Product Share Forecast
Variable Marketing Cost Objectives Market Scenario
M26 | VARIABLE MARKETING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Market Forecast
Q26 | VARIABLE MARKETING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Product Share Forecast
Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives Market Scenario
M28 | DISTRIBUTION & PRODUCT DELIVERY COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Market Forecast
Q28 | DISTRIBUTION & PRODUCT DELIVERY COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Product Share Forecast
Selling Cost Objectives Market Scenario
M30 | SELLING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Market Forecast
Q30 | SELLING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Product Share Forecast
Advertising Cost Objectives Market Scenario
M31 | ADVERTISING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Market Forecast
Q31 | ADVERTISING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Product Share Forecast
Promotional & Pricing Cost Objectives Market Scenario
M32 | PROMOTIONAL & PRICING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Market Forecast
Q32 | PROMOTIONAL & PRICING COST OBJECTIVES Scenario Product Share Forecast
Market Share Building Objectives Market Scenario
M34 | MARKET SHARE BUILDING OBJECTIVES Scenario Market Forecast
Q34 | MARKET SHARE BUILDING OBJECTIVES Scenario Product Share Forecast
Market Share Holding Objectives Market Scenario
M35 | MARKET SHARE HOLDING OBJECTIVES Scenario Market Forecast
Q35 | MARKET SHARE HOLDING OBJECTIVES Scenario Product Share Forecast
Market Share Harvesting Objectives Market Scenario
M36 | MARKET SHARE HARVESTING OBJECTIVES Scenario Market Forecast
Q36 | MARKET SHARE HARVESTING OBJECTIVES Scenario Product Share Forecast
Sales Cost Improvement Market Scenario
M37 | SALES COST IMPROVEMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q37 | SALES COST IMPROVEMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Promotional Expenditure Market Scenario
M40 | PROMOTIONAL EXPENDITURE Scenario Market Forecast
Q40 | PROMOTIONAL EXPENDITURE Scenario Product Share Forecast
Target Markets Development Market Scenario
M41 | TARGET MARKETS DEVELOPMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q41 | TARGET MARKETS DEVELOPMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Order Taking Improvements Market Scenario
M42 | ORDER TAKING IMPROVEMENTS Scenario Market Forecast
Q42 | ORDER TAKING IMPROVEMENTS Scenario Product Share Forecast
Product Positioning Market Scenario
M43 | PRODUCT POSITIONING Scenario Market Forecast
Q43 | PRODUCT POSITIONING Scenario Product Share Forecast
Product Branding + Multi-branding Investment Market Scenario
M44 | PRODUCT BRANDING + MULTI-BRANDING INVESTMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q44 | PRODUCT BRANDING + MULTI-BRANDING INVESTMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment Market Scenario
M45 | CUSTOMER / ORDER PROCESSING SYSTEMS INVESTMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q45 | CUSTOMER / ORDER PROCESSING SYSTEMS INVESTMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Overseas Development Market Scenario
M47 | OVERSEAS DEVELOPMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q47 | OVERSEAS DEVELOPMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Sales Personnel + Staff Improvement Market Scenario Market Scenario
M48 | SALES PERSONNEL + STAFF IMPROVEMENT Scenario Market Forecast
Q48 | SALES PERSONNEL + STAFF IMPROVEMENT Scenario Product Share Forecast
Sales & Marketing Cost : Market Scenario
M54 | SALES & MARKETING COST SCENARIOS Scenario Market Forecast
Q54 | SALES & MARKETING COST SCENARIOS Scenario Product Share Forecast
Customer Handling Improvements Market Scenario
M72 | CUSTOMER HANDLING IMPROVEMENTS Scenario Market Forecast
Q72 | CUSTOMER HANDLING IMPROVEMENTS Scenario Product Share Forecast
Bank Borrowing: 3% Inflation : Market Scenario
M87 | SHORT-TERM LOAN: 3% INFLATION SCENARIOS Scenario Market Forecast
Q87 | SHORT-TERM LOAN: 3% INFLATION SCENARIOS Scenario Product Share Forecast
Bank Borrowing: 6% Inflation : Market Scenario
M88 | SHORT-TERM LOAN: 6% INFLATION SCENARIOS Scenario Market Forecast
Q88 | SHORT-TERM LOAN: 6% INFLATION SCENARIOS Scenario Product Share Forecast
Bank Borrowing: 9% Inflation : Market Scenario
M89 | SHORT-TERM LOAN: 9% INFLATION SCENARIOS Scenario Market Forecast
Q89 | SHORT-TERM LOAN: 9% INFLATION SCENARIOS Scenario Product Share Forecast
Trading Credit Extension & Margin Reduction : Market Scenario
M96 | CREDIT EXTENSION & COST REDUCTION SCENARIOS Scenario Market Forecast
Q96 | CREDIT EXTENSION & COST REDUCTION SCENARIOS Scenario Product Share Forecast
There are four basic issues to investigate when considering the marketing
environment for the industry.
Market Growth
Market Structure
Market/s Serviced
Customer & End User
Factors
Market Growth (both short-term and medium term) by each Product and
Market Area is fully evaluated in this section, as is the historic market
data.
The Market Structure for the industry is very critical for
profitability. The nature of the market, the location of the Market-Place, the
customer base and the supplier structure is exhaustively covered in this
report.
Market/s Serviced is the term used to denote the function between the
product/s and services offered by the industry and the particular market sector
which the marketing effort reaches. The Market Serviced is the true market for
the industry in terms of product/s and services.
THE TRADING AREA
The Market analysis provides data in terms of the operational trading area
of the industry. This being the regions, countries or states which form the
effective competitive and market environment for the industry. Whether or not a
company operates in the various areas covered is immaterial as the effects of
the Market-Place exist nonetheless.
BASIS OF MARKET COVERAGE
Reports give coverage of all the Major Products and Markets supplied and
serviced by the industry. The reported Target Markets are those which are
perceived to be the most important area for the industry in the Medium and Long
Term.
In that these reports are conceived as Market & Corporate documents it is
felt important to concentrate only on those markets which represent the
corner-stones of the industry customer bases and not become involved in any
peripheral activities of the industry.
Market coverage is designed to encompass not only the existing markets for the
industry, but also areas of market expansion, product segmentation, parallel
markets, et al. By the same token the data excludes those market areas or
sectors which are unavailable to the industry for whatever technical or commercial
reasons.
MKT_DEFI.HTM MARKET DEFINITIONS
Norms for the product market are shown in this section. This represents the
major market sector data for the industry and as such forms the basis of
comparison.
Only the most critical factors should be compared with the various scenarios
given above as market averages can at best represent an indication and not a
specific point of measure.
Reliance on market Norms are often used by analysts in order to support
theories and suppositions and these are in turn used for investment scenarios.
In fact market Norms or Averages are not tangible as they combine and
manipulate data from companies in wide ranging activities and thus much of the
data is superficial.
Much of the benefit in the analysis of market Norms is to use the data to
provide guide-lines or parameters which can be seen to define and identify the
target market sector.
Since these market Norms should be representative of the entire market it is
wise to provide an average which encompasses all the major countries in the
trade cell.
TIC -FM_IND_N.HTM MARKET DATA + NORMS
This section covers product industry costs under the following component
headings:-
1. SALES & SELLING COSTS
The table below gives the average sales and selling costs ( as a % of Turnover
OR MSP) for products. These costs include sales personnel.
2. DISTRIBUTION COSTS
The table below gives the average distribution costs ( as a % of Turnover or
MSP ) for products. Distribution Costs also include PHYSICAL Handling,
Processing and other related costs, but exclude order administration or
accounts processing or handling costs.
3. ADVERTISING COSTS
The following table provides average ADVERTISING costs ( as a % of Turnover or
MSP ) for products. Advertising Costs include all promotional expenditure, but
excludes cost of sales personnel (i.e. retail, missionary or other sales
personnel).
4. AFTER-SALES COSTS
The following table provides average AFTER-SALES costs ( as a % of Turnover or
MSP ) for products. After-Sales Costs include all costs incurred after the
point of sale (excluding credit and collection costs) which are not chargeable
to, or recoupable from, the customer. These costs also include goodwill items
such as after-sales visits to distributors or customers.
AFTER-SALES COSTS & WARRANTY COSTS
The table covering average AFTER-SALES costs ( as a % of Turnover or MSP ) for
products also covers WARRANTY COSTS. These costs include all costs
incurred after the point of sale (excluding credit and collection costs) which
are not chargeable to, or recoupable from, the customer. These costs also
include goodwill items such as after-sales visits to distributors or customers.
Warranty Costs are composed:-
1. The ITEM COST, i.e. the actual costs of replacing the faulty or reject
product
2. The COST FACTOR, i.e. the administrative, handling, marketing and other
costs involved in handling returns, rejects and warranties.
3. The WARRANTY COST, i.e. the total cost of warranties. This is the figure
given below.
4. TOTAL AFTER-SALES COSTS
The following table provides average marketing costs ( as a % of MSP ) for
products.
NOTES: The costs isolated below represent the industry average and cover
the costs of companies in the industry, as well as subsidiaries and other
marketing companies or organizations in each of the countries concerned.
The figures given indicate an annual average by year on market and should not
be confused with the product launch figures given. The definitions for these
sets of figures are not directly comparable.
MSP: Denotes the Suppliers, Manufacturers or Producers Selling Price or, in the
case of non-manufacturing sales and services, the overall turnover.
F_H - FIN_MKTG.HTM HISTORIC MARKETING DATA
FPL - FINAMKTG.HTM PRODUCT LAUNCH MARKETING DATA
IPL FINBMKTG.HTM PRODUCT LAUNCH MARKETING RATIOS
FIN_DEFI.HTM FINANCIAL DEFINITIONS
F_H - FIN_HIST.HTM HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA
The MARKET FINANCIAL SCENARIOS BALANCE SHEET FORECASTS section gives a series
of Balance Sheet Forecasts for the industry using a number of assumptions
relating to the marketing decisions available to the management of the
industry.
The Balance sheet forecast given shows the effects of marketing changes or
improvements which management is likely to recommend:
MARKET FINANCIAL SCENARIOS
Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario
Managers in the industry will, in both the short-term and the long-term, have
vital decisions to make regarding the marketing improvements, margins and
profitability and these decisions will need to be evaluated in light of the
customers, markets, competitors, products, industry and internal factors. The
scenarios given isolate a number of the most important factors and provide
balance sheet forecasts for each of the scenarios.
The data provides a short and medium term forecast covering the next 6 years
for each of the Forecast Financial and Operational items. The Financial and
Operational Data sections show each of the items listed below in terms of
forecast data and covers a period of the next 6 years.
Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario
F0M| MEDIAN FORECAST : Financials
G0M | MEDIAN FORECAST : Margins & Ratios
MKT_DEFI.HTM MARKET DEFINITIONS
ACTUAL PRICE PAID, 1
Advertising Cost Objectives Market Scenario, 34
ADVERTISING COSTS, 74
ADVERTISING COSTS FORECAST, 76
AFTER-SALES COSTS, 74
AFTER-SALES COSTS FORECAST, 76
Average Annual Sales Growth Rate, 68
AVERAGE GROWTH TRENDS, 59
Balance Sheet Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario, 86
Balance Sheet Historic, 80
Bank Borrowing: 3% Inflation : Market Scenario, 50
Bank Borrowing: 6% Inflation : Market Scenario, 51
Bank Borrowing: 9% Inflation : Market Scenario, 52
Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario, 9
Base Forecast : Worst Market Scenario, 10
Buyer Age Profile in the range 0-19 Years, 68
Buyer Age Profile in the range 20-24 Years, 68
Buyer Age Profile in the range 25-34 Years, 68
Buyer Age Profile in the range 35-44 Years, 68
Buyer Age Profile in the range 45-54 Years, 68
Buyer Age Profile in the range 55-64 Years, 68
Buyer Age Profile in the range 65+ / Years, 68
Buyer Profile in the AB Social Group, 68
Buyer Profile in the C1 Social Group, 68
Buyer Profile in the C2 Social Group, 68
Buyer Profile in the DE / Unallocated Social Group, 68
Capacity Utilization as a measure of Standard Capacity, 68
Costs & Margins Historic, 81
Customer Handling Improvements Market Scenario, 49
Customer & End User Factors, 54
Customer / Order Processing Systems Investment, 45
DATABASE GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE, 65
Discounted & Promotional Market Level, 68
Distribution Channel Improvement Market Scenario, 13
Distribution & Product Delivery Cost Objectives, 32
DISTRIBUTION + HANDLING COSTS, 74
DISTRIBUTION + HANDLING COSTS FORECAST, 76
End User Age Profile in the range 0-19 Years, 68
End User Age Profile in the range 20-24 Years, 68
End User Age Profile in the range 25-34 Years, 68
End User Age Profile in the range 35-44 Years, 68
End User Age Profile in the range 45-54 Years, 68
End User Age Profile in the range 55-64 Years, 68
End User Age Profile in the range 65+ / Years, 68
End User or final distribution level, 1
End User Profile in the AB Social Group, 68
End User Profile in the C1 Social Group, 68
End User Profile in the C2 Social Group, 68
End User Profile in the DE / Unallocated Social Group, 68
End User & Consumer Market Level, 68
Enterprises within the Range 100+ Employees, 68
Enterprises within the Range 1-19 Employees, 68
Enterprises within the Range 20-99 Employees, 68
Enterprises within Unspecified / Unallocated Employees, 68
EXCHANGE RATE, 64
Export Sales Improvement Market Scenario, 17
Financial data definitions, 91
Financial forecast notes, 78, 84
Financial Ratios Base Forecast : Median Market, 88
Financial Ratios & Margins Historic, 82
Fixed Marketing Cost Objectives Market Scenario, 30
FORECAST DATA AND TIME SERIES, 57
HISTORIC DATA AND TIME SERIES, 57
HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA, 79
HISTORIC MARKETING COST RATIOS & MARGINS, 75
HISTORIC MARKETING COSTS & MARGINS, 74
Immediate Consumer and End User Customers, 68
Immediate Non-Specific Customers / Unallocated, 68
Immediate OEM and Manufacturing Customers, 68
Immediate Wholesale & Retail Customers, 68
Index of Comparative Advertising Expenditure, 68
Index of Comparative General Promotional Expenditure, 68
Index of Comparative Salesforce and Selling Expenditure, 68
INDUSTRY SHIPMENT VALUES OR PRICES, 1
Instable Market Share as an Index of Total Market, 68
MARKET COVERAGE, 54
MARKET DATA DEFINITIONS, 56
MARKET DATA NOTES, 54
MARKET ENVIRONMENT, 54
MARKET FINANCIAL SCENARIOS FORECASTS, 85
Market forecast notes, 56
Market Growth, 54
MARKET NORMS, 67
MARKET SCENARIO FORECASTS, 7
Market Segmentation Market Scenario, 12
Market Share Building Objectives Market Scenario, 36
Market Share Harvesting Objectives Market Scenario, 38
Market Share Holding Objectives Market Scenario, 37
Market Structure, 54
MARKET VALUE FORECAST, 3
MARKET VALUE, 2
MARKETING COSTS, 72, 75
MARKETING COSTS FORECAST, 76
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 2% : Market Scenario, 24
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 4% : Market Scenario, 25
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 6% : Market Scenario, 26
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : - 8% : Market Scenario, 27
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : -10% : Market Scenario, 28
Marketing Expenditure Decrease : -12% : Market Scenario, 29
Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 2% : Market Scenario, 18
Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 4% : Market Scenario, 19
Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 6% : Market Scenario, 20
Marketing Expenditure Increase : + 8% : Market Scenario, 21
Marketing Expenditure Increase : +10% : Market Scenario, 22
Marketing Expenditure Increase : +12% : Market Scenario, 23
MARKETING FACTORS FORECAST, 77
MARKETING MARGINS + RATIOS FORECAST, 77
MARKETING OPERATIONAL RATIOS, 75
MARKETING OPERATIONAL RATIOS FORECAST, 77
MARKETING RATIO, 75
MARKETING RATIOS FORECAST, 77
MARKETS, 1
Market/s Serviced, 54
New Product Development Market Scenario, 11
New Products as a % of the Total Output, 68
NOTES AND DEFINITIONS, 56
OEM & Manufacturers Market Level, 68
Operational Costs Base Forecast : Median Market, 87
Operational Margins Base Forecast : Median Market, 89
Operational Ratios & Margins Historic, 83
Order Taking Improvements Market Scenario, 42
Overseas Development Market Scenario, 46
Plant and Equipment in Use over years 9 old, 68
Plant and Equipment in Use within the range 0-3 years, 68
Plant and Equipment in Use within the range 3-6 years, 68
Plant and Equipment in Use within the range 6-9 years, 68
Plant and Equipment Investment Equal to Depreciation, 68
Plant and Equipment Investment greater than Depreciation, 68
Plant and Equipment Investment Less than Depreciation, 68
Plant and Equipment Investment - Unallocated, 68
Plant & Equipment Average Annual Investment, 68
Price actually paid net of discounting, 1
Price Cutting Effect Market Scenario, 14
Price Increase Effect Market Scenario, 15
PRICE PAID BY END USERS, 1
PROBLEM OF CURRENCY CONVERSIONS, 64
Product Adoption Rates, 68
Product Branding + Multi-branding Investment Market, 44
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT FORECAST, 6
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT, 4
Product Positioning Market Scenario, 43
Product Prices as a % of the Market Average, 68
Product Sales Conversion Rates, 68
PRODUCT SECTOR : % OF TOTAL MARKET, 4, 6
PRODUCT SECTOR : VALUE, 2, 3
PROFIT RATIOS, 75
PROFIT RATIOS FORECAST, 77
Promotional Expenditure Market Scenario, 40
Promotional & Pricing Cost Objectives Market Scenario, 35
Quality Improvement Market Scenario, 16
Relative Employee Compensation Index, 68
Relative Forward Integration Index, 68
Relative output of Products of a Superior Quality, 68
REPORT TYPES, 61
Retail Sale Prices, 1
RETAIL VALUES OR PRICES, 1
Retailer & Added Value Retailer Market Level, 68
Sales Cost Improvement Market Scenario, 39
SALES COSTS, 74
SALES COSTS FORECAST, 76
Sales Personnel + Staff Improvement Market Scenario, 47
Sales & Marketing Cost : Market Scenario, 48
Selling Cost Objectives Market Scenario, 33
Standardized Products & Services Index, 68
Supplier Concentration = 20 Largest, 68
Supplier Concentration = 50 Largest, 68
Supplier Concentration = 8 Largest, 68
Supplier Concentration = Unspecified / Unallocated, 68
Supplier or Producer Prices, 1
Target Markets Development Market Scenario, 41
TERMS USED IN THIS REPORT, 1
TOTAL MARKETING COSTS, 74
TOTAL MARKETING COSTS FORECAST, 76
TRADING AREA, 54
Trading Credit Extension & Margin Reduction, 53
VALUE TERMS AND VOLUME TERMS, 1
Variable Marketing Cost Objectives Market Scenario, 31
Wholesale or Distributors Sale Prices, 1
WHOLESALE VALUES OR PRICES, 1
Wholesale & Distributor Market Level, 68
YEAR-ON-YEAR TREND, 59
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : + 2% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : + 4% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : + 6% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : + 8% : Market Scenario
% OF TOTAL MARKET
ACTUAL PRICE PAID
Advertising Cost Objectives
Market Scenario
Average Annual Sales Growth Rate
Bank Borrowing: 3% Inflation
: Market Scenario
Bank Borrowing: 6% Inflation
: Market Scenario
Bank Borrowing: 9% Inflation
: Market Scenario
Base Forecast : Median Market
Scenario
Base Forecast : Median Market
Scenario
Base Forecast : Worst Market
Scenario
Buyer Age Profile in the
range 0-19 Years
Buyer Age Profile in the
range 20-24 Years
Buyer Age Profile in the
range 25-34 Years
Buyer Age Profile in the
range 35-44 Years
Buyer Age Profile in the
range 45-54 Years
Buyer Age Profile in the range
55-64 Years
Buyer Age Profile in the
range 65+ / Unallocated Years
Buyer Profile in the AB Social
Group
Buyer Profile in the C1 Social
Group
Buyer Profile in the C2 Social
Group
Buyer Profile in the DE / Unallocated
Social Group
Capacity Utilization as a
measure of Standard Capacity
Customer / Order Processing
Systems Investment Market Scenario
Customer & End User Factors
Customer Handling
Improvements Market Scenario
Discounted &
Promotional Market Level
Distribution &
Product Delivery Cost Objectives Market Scenario
Distribution Channel
Improvement Market Scenario
End User & Consumer Market
Level
End User Age Profile in the
range 0-19 Years
End User Age Profile in the
range 20-24 Years
End User Age Profile in the
range 25-34 Years
End User Age Profile in the
range 35-44 Years
End User Age Profile in the
range 45-54 Years
End User Age Profile in the
range 55-64 Years
End User Age Profile in the
range 65+ / Unallocated Years
End User or final distribution
level
End User Profile in the AB
Social Group
End User Profile in the C1
Social Group
End User Profile in the C2
Social Group
End User Profile in the DE /
Unallocated Social Group
Enterprises within the Range
1-19 Employees
Enterprises within the Range
100+ Employees
Enterprises within the Range
20-99 Employees
Enterprises within
Unspecified / Unallocated Employee Ranges
Export Sales Improvement
Market Scenario
Fixed Marketing Cost
Objectives Market Scenario
HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA
Immediate Consumer and End
User Customers
Immediate Non-Specific
Customers / Unallocated
Immediate OEM and
Manufacturing Customers
Immediate Wholesale &
Retail Customers
Index of Comparative
Advertising Expenditure
Index of Comparative General
Promotional Expenditure
Index of Comparative
Salesforce and Selling Expenditure
INDUSTRY SHIPMENT VALUES OR PRICES
Instable Market Share as an
Index of Total Market Share
MARKET COVERAGE
MARKET DATA NOTES
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
MARKET FINANCIAL SCENARIOS
FORECASTS
Market Growth
Market Growth
MARKET NORMS
MARKET NORMS
MARKET SCENARIO FORECASTS
Market Segmentation Market
Scenario
Market Share Building
Objectives Market Scenario
Market Share Harvesting
Objectives Market Scenario
Market Share Holding
Objectives Market Scenario
Market Structure
Market Structure
MARKET VALUE
Market/s Serviced
Market/s Serviced
Marketing Costs during Product
Launch
MARKETING COSTS
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : - 2% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : - 4% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : - 6% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : - 8% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : -10% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : -12% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : +10% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : +12% : Market Scenario
MARKETS
New Product Development
Market Scenario
New Products as a % of the
Total Output
OEM & Manufacturers Market Level
Order Taking Improvements
Market Scenario
Overseas Development Market
Scenario
Plant & Equipment
Average Annual Investment
Plant and Equipment in Use
over years 9 old / Unallocated
Plant and Equipment in Use
within the range 0-3 years
Plant and Equipment in Use
within the range 3-6 years
Plant and Equipment in Use
within the range 6-9 years
Plant and Equipment
Investment - Unallocated
Plant and Equipment
Investment Equal to Depreciation
Plant and Equipment
Investment greater than Depreciation
Plant and Equipment
Investment Less than Depreciation
price actually paid net of
discounting
Price Cutting Effect Market
Scenario
Price Increase Effect Market
Scenario
PRICE PAID BY END USERS
Product Adoption Rates
Product Branding +
Multi-branding Investment Market Scenario
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
Product Positioning Market
Scenario
Product Prices as a % of the
Market Average
Product Sales Conversion Rates
PRODUCT SECTOR
PRODUCT SECTOR
Promotional &
Pricing Cost Objectives Market Scenario
Promotional Expenditure
Market Scenario
Quality Improvement Market
Scenario
Relative Employee Compensation
Index
Relative Forward Integration
Index
Relative output of Products
of a Superior Quality as a % of the Total
Retail Sale Prices
RETAIL VALUES OR PRICES
Retailer & Added
Value Retailer Market Level
Sales & Marketing
Cost : Market Scenario
Sales Cost Improvement Market
Scenario
Sales Personnel + Staff
Improvement Market Scenario Market Scenario
Selling Cost Objectives
Market Scenario
Standardized Products
& Services Index
Supplier Concentration = 20
Largest
Supplier Concentration = 50 Largest
Supplier Concentration = 8
Largest
Supplier Concentration =
Unspecified / Unallocated
Supplier or Producer Prices
Target Markets Development
Market Scenario
TERMS USED IN THIS REPORT
TRADING AREA
Trading Credit Extension
& Margin Reduction : Market Scenario
VALUE TERMS AND VOLUME TERMS
Variable Marketing Cost
Objectives Market Scenario
Wholesale & Distributor
Market Level
Wholesale or Distributors Sale
Prices
MARKETS
TERMS USED IN THIS REPORT
VALUE TERMS AND VOLUME TERMS
MARKET SCENARIO FORECASTS
MARKET DATA NOTES
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Market Growth
Market Structure
Market/s Serviced
TRADING AREA
MARKET COVERAGE
MARKET NORMS
MARKETING COSTS
HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA
MARKET FINANCIAL SCENARIOS
FORECASTS
MARKET VALUE
PRODUCT SECTOR
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT
% OF TOTAL MARKET
PRODUCT SECTOR
Base Forecast : Median Market
Scenario
Base Forecast : Worst Market
Scenario
New Product Development
Market Scenario
Market Segmentation Market
Scenario
Distribution Channel
Improvement Market Scenario
Price Cutting Effect Market
Scenario
Price Increase Effect Market
Scenario
Quality Improvement Market
Scenario
Export Sales Improvement
Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : + 2% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : + 4% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : + 6% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : + 8% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : +10% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Increase : +12% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : - 2% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : - 4% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : - 6% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : - 8% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : -10% : Market Scenario
Marketing Expenditure
Decrease : -12% : Market Scenario
Fixed Marketing Cost
Objectives Market Scenario
Variable Marketing Cost
Objectives Market Scenario
Distribution &
Product Delivery Cost Objectives Market Scenario
Selling Cost Objectives
Market Scenario
Advertising Cost Objectives
Market Scenario
Promotional &
Pricing Cost Objectives Market Scenario
Market Share Building
Objectives Market Scenario
Market Share Holding
Objectives Market Scenario
Market Share Harvesting
Objectives Market Scenario
Sales Cost Improvement Market
Scenario
Promotional Expenditure
Market Scenario
Target Markets Development
Market Scenario
Order Taking Improvements
Market Scenario
Product Positioning Market
Scenario
Product Branding +
Multi-branding Investment Market Scenario
Customer / Order Processing
Systems Investment Market Scenario
Overseas Development Market
Scenario
Sales Personnel + Staff
Improvement Market Scenario Market Scenario
Sales & Marketing
Cost : Market Scenario
Customer Handling
Improvements Market Scenario
Bank Borrowing: 3% Inflation
: Market Scenario
Bank Borrowing: 6% Inflation
: Market Scenario
Bank Borrowing: 9% Inflation
: Market Scenario
Trading Credit Extension
& Margin Reduction : Market Scenario
MARKET NORMS
Marketing Costs during Product
Launch
Base Forecast : Median Market
Scenario