CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS

Company Products & Services

CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS

CONTENTS

Page:

      CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS FOR THE INDUSTRY

1

~ .... HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA

2

~ .... Historic Balance Sheet

3

~ ~ ...... Historic Costs & Margins

4

~ ~ ........ Historic Financial Ratios & Margins

5

~ ~ .......... Historic Operational Ratios & Margins

6

~ .... Financial forecast notes

7

~ .... CASHFLOW OPTIONS SCENARIO FORECASTS

8

~ .... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Balance Sheet Forecast

9

~ ...... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Operational Costs Forecast

10

~ ........ Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Financial Ratios

11

~ .......... Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario Operational Margins

12

~ .... New Capital Injection Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

13

~ ...... New Capital Injection Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

14

~ ........ New Capital Injection Scenarios Financial Ratios

15

~ .......... New Capital Injection Scenarios Operational Margins

16

~ .... Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

17

~ ...... Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

18

~ ........ Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios Financial Ratios

19

~ .......... Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios Operational Margins

20

~ .... Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

21

~ ...... Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

22

~ ........ Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios Financial Ratios

23

~ .......... Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios Operational Margins

24

~ .... Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

25

~ ...... Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

26

~ ........ Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios Financial Ratios

27

~ .......... Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios Operational Margins

28

~ .... Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

29

~ ...... Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

30

~ ........ Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios Financial Ratios

31

~ .......... Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios Operational Margins

32

~ .... Long-Term Loan Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

33

~ ...... Long-Term Loan Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

34

~ ........ Long-Term Loan Scenarios Financial Ratios

35

~ .......... Long-Term Loan Scenarios Operational Margins

36

~ .... Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

37

~ ...... Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

38

~ ........ Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios Financial Ratios

39

~ .......... Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios Operational Margins

40

~ .... Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

41

~ ...... Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

42

~ ........ Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios Financial Ratios

43

~ .......... Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios Operational Margins

44

~ .... Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

45

~ ...... Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

46

~ ........ Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios Financial Ratios

47

~ .......... Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios Operational Margins

48

~ .... Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

49

~ ...... Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

50

~ ........ Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios Financial Ratios

51

~ .......... Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios Operational Margins

52

~ .... Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

53

~ ...... Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

54

~ ........ Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios Financial Ratios

55

~ .......... Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios Operational Margins

56

~ .... Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios Balance Sheet Forecast

57

~ ...... Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios Operational Costs Forecast

58

~ ........ Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios Financial Ratios

59

~ .......... Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios Operational Margins

61

~ .... Financial data definitions

INDEX

HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA

CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS ISSUES

F_H - FIN_HIST.HTM   HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA

 Financial Definitions

CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS

FINANCIAL DATA FORECAST

CASHFLOW OPTIONS SCENARIO BASED BALANCE SHEET FORECASTS


The CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS BALANCE SHEET FORECASTS section gives a series of Balance Sheet Forecasts for the industry using a number of assumptions relating to the financial decisions available to the management of the industry.

The Balance sheet forecast given shows the effects of cashflow improvements which Financial Management is likely to recommend:

CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS

- Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario

- New Capital Injection Scenarios
- Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios
- Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios
- Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios
- Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios
- Long-Term Loan Scenarios
- Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios
- Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios
- Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios
- Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios
- Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios
- Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios

Managers in the industry will, in both the short-term and the long-term, have vital decisions to make regarding the cashflow improvements, margins and profitability and these decisions will need to be evaluated in light of the customers, markets, competitors, products, industry and internal factors. The scenarios given isolate a number of the most important factors and provide balance sheet forecasts for each of the scenarios.

The data provides a short and medium term forecast covering the next 6 years for each of the Forecast Financial and Operational items. The Financial and Operational Data sections show each of the items listed below in terms of forecast data and covers a period of the next 6 years.


Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario

F0M|     MEDIAN  FORECAST : Financials

G0M|     MEDIAN  FORECAST : Margins & Ratios

New Capital Injection Scenarios

F85|     NEW CAPITAL SCENARIOS : Financials

G85|     NEW CAPITAL SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios

F86|     SHORT-TERM LOAN: BASE SCENARIOS : Financials

G86|     SHORT-TERM LOAN: BASE SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios

F87|     SHORT-TERM LOAN: 3% INFLATION SCENARIOS : Financials

G87|     SHORT-TERM LOAN: 3% INFLATION SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios

F88|     SHORT-TERM LOAN: 6% INFLATION SCENARIOS : Financials

G88|     SHORT-TERM LOAN: 6% INFLATION SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios

F89|     SHORT-TERM LOAN: 9% INFLATION SCENARIOS : Financials

G89|     SHORT-TERM LOAN: 9% INFLATION SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Long-Term Loan Scenarios

F90|     LONG-TERM LOAN SCENARIOS : Financials

G90|     LONG-TERM LOAN SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios

F91|     ASSET SALES: 5% OF ASSETS SCENARIOS : Financials

G91|     ASSET SALES: 5% OF ASSETS SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios

F92|     ASSET SALES: 10% OF ASSETS SCENARIOS : Financials

G92|     ASSET SALES: 10% OF ASSETS SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios

F93|     ASSET SALES: 25% OF ASSETS SCENARIOS : Financials

G93|     ASSET SALES: 25% OF ASSETS SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios

F94|     PROFIT IMPROVEMENTS: WORST SCENARIOS : Financials

G94|     PROFIT IMPROVEMENTS: WORST SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios

F95|     PROFIT IMPROVEMENTS: BEST SCENARIOS : Financials

G95|     PROFIT IMPROVEMENTS: BEST SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios

F96|     CREDIT EXTENSION & COST REDUCTION SCENARIOS : Financials

G96 |     CREDIT EXTENSION & COST REDUCTION SCENARIOS : Margins & Ratios

FIN_DEFI.HTM FINANCIAL DEFINITIONS

INDEX

 

Balance Sheet Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios, 40
Balance Sheet Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios, 44
Balance Sheet Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios, 36
Balance Sheet Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario, 8
Balance Sheet Credit Extension & Cost Reduction, 56
Balance Sheet Historic, 2
Balance Sheet Long-Term Loan Scenarios, 32
Balance Sheet New Capital Injection Scenarios, 12
Balance Sheet Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios, 52
Balance Sheet Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios, 48
Balance Sheet Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenario, 20
Balance Sheet Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenario, 24
Balance Sheet Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenario, 28
Balance Sheet Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios, 16

CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS FORECASTS, 7
Costs & Margins Historic, 3

Financial data definitions, 61
Financial forecast notes, 6
Financial Ratios Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenario, 42
Financial Ratios Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenario, 46
Financial Ratios Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenario, 38
Financial Ratios Base Forecast : Median Market, 10
Financial Ratios Credit Extension & Cost Reduction, 58
Financial Ratios Long-Term Loan Scenarios, 34
Financial Ratios New Capital Injection Scenarios, 14
Financial Ratios Profit Improvement: Best Scenario, 54
Financial Ratios Profit Improvement: Worst Scenario, 50
Financial Ratios Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation, 22
Financial Ratios Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation, 26
Financial Ratios Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation, 30
Financial Ratios Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios, 18
Financial Ratios & Margins Historic, 4

HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA, 1

Operational Costs Asset Sales: 10% of Assets, 41
Operational Costs Asset Sales: 25% of Assets, 45
Operational Costs Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenario, 37
Operational Costs Base Forecast : Median Market, 9
Operational Costs Credit Extension & Cost Reduction, 57
Operational Costs Long-Term Loan Scenarios, 33
Operational Costs New Capital Injection Scenarios, 13
Operational Costs Profit Improvement: Best Scenario, 53
Operational Costs Profit Improvement: Worst Scenario, 49
Operational Costs Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation, 21
Operational Costs Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation, 25
Operational Costs Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation, 29
Operational Costs Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios, 17
Operational Margins Asset Sales: 10% of Assets, 43
Operational Margins Asset Sales: 25% of Assets, 47
Operational Margins Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenario, 39
Operational Margins Base Forecast : Median Market, 11
Operational Margins Credit Extension & Cost Reduction, 59
Operational Margins Long-Term Loan Scenarios, 35
Operational Margins New Capital Injection Scenario, 15
Operational Margins Profit Improvement: Best Scenario, 55
Operational Margins Profit Improvement: Worst Scenario, 51
Operational Margins Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation, 23
Operational Margins Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation, 27
Operational Margins Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation, 31
Operational Margins Short-Term Loan: Base Scenario, 19
Operational Ratios & Margins Historic, 5

CONTENTS

Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios
Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios
Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios
Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario
CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS FORECASTS
Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios
HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA
Long-Term Loan Scenarios
New Capital Injection Scenarios
Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios
Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios
Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios
Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios
Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios

HISTORIC FINANCIAL DATA
CASHFLOW OPTION SCENARIOS FORECASTS
Base Forecast : Median Market Scenario
New Capital Injection Scenarios
Short-Term Loan: Base Scenarios
Short-Term Loan: 3% Inflation Scenarios
Short-Term Loan: 6% Inflation Scenarios
Short-Term Loan: 9% Inflation Scenarios
Long-Term Loan Scenarios
Asset Sales: 5% of Assets Scenarios
Asset Sales: 10% of Assets Scenarios
Asset Sales: 25% of Assets Scenarios
Profit Improvement: Worst Scenarios
Profit Improvement: Best Scenarios
Credit Extension & Cost Reduction Scenarios